Saturday, February 11, 2012 13:24 GMT

Additional Model Data

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National Hurricane Center Model Data (Displayed by Tropical Atlantic)
NHC/TAFB Experimental Gridded Marine Forecasts
Model Analyses and Forecasts from National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP)
European (ECMWF) Model
Canadian Model
More Model Data
About Models

National Hurricane Center Model Data (Displayed by Tropical Atlantic)

http://tropicalatlantic.com/models/

Our model site displays National Hurricane Center (NHC) model data in Google Maps and Google Earth for active storms and areas of investigation. (Areas of investigation are designated as invests with numbers from 90 to 99.) You can also view model wind and pressure data, when available, in Adobe Flash diagrams. All best track and model data is archived so you can view historic data as well. Other features of our model system include NHC model error, an ATCF center fix system containing center fixes by satellite and other sources, and model data for the East and Central Pacific basins. For active storms, links to each storm's data will appear at the top of most of the pages on our site.

If you have the free program Google Earth, you can access all model data in the Atlantic Basin by saving the Google Earth file below:
Google Earth Logo
This file will allow you to view the latest model data when it is available for active storms and areas of investigation. NHC best track and model data come from the Automated Tropical Cyclone Forecasting (ATCF) system. Raw ATCF data is downloaded here from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) FTP server and is processed by our site to be displayed visually when new data is available.

For a nice background to display Google Earth data on, click here for a world image from NASA that we have customized for the Atlantic.

For model data for other basins, check out Tropical Globe.

NHC/TAFB Experimental Gridded Marine Forecasts

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb/gridded_marine/

The National Hurricane Center has an experimental new product that combines model data with forecaster input to create a graphical 5 day forecast for the Atlantic basin. This is a great tool, though still experimental, to see what the NHC might be thinking.

Model Analyses and Guidance from National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP)

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/

This site replaces the old version of their site. This site has excellent GFS, GFDL (called GHM on their site), and HWRF model imagery. The site also has other model imagery.

NCEP/EMC Cyclogenesis Tracking Page:
http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/tpm/emchurr/tcgen/
Models projected path of low pressure areas all on one image. This is an interesting page you should check out. Once on the site, click the latest time in the left frame. From that you'll see a page full of different regions and models. If you are looking for a storm that diesn't happen to be near North America, such as in the Caribbean or across the Atlantic basin, scroll down the page and there is a table for the Atlantic basin. There are a variety of models to choose from, such as a multi-model, GFS, NAM, NCEP Ensemble, SREF Ensemble, Ukmet (UK Meteorological), and NOGAPS (Navy Operational Global Atmospheric Prediction System). The images show the path of a low with a line and also display the pressure, which is quite helpful.

You might also want to see this page for some very advanced information: http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/ens/
It links to the NCEP/EMC Cyclogenesis Tracking Page above, but unlike that site, the other sites are very advanced.

NCEP CFS (Climate Forecast System, Coupled Forecast System) Forecasts:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/ensoforecast.shtml
About CFS: http://cfs.ncep.noaa.gov/
The forecast page, updated daily, "provides seasonal climate anomalies from the NCEP coupled forecast system model (CFS03). One forecast run is produced each day for 9 target months." It doesn't contain information that is valid for any current storm. You can view such things as the SST anomalies expected or the global SST's to determine such things as El Nino in the future.

More info about some of the above models from NCEP can be found here:
Environmental Modeling Center

European (ECMWF) Model

European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts:
ECMWF - North America

This is often known as the European model.

Canadian Model

From the Meteorological Service of Canada, Environment Canada...

Canadian Meteorological Centre's (CMC) Global Environmental Multiscale (GEM) model
Weather Charts
Ensemble Forecasts
Operational Analysis Charts and Bulletins (Current Surface/Upper Air Analysis)

From the Atmospheric Sciences Group at the University of Quebec at Montreal...

CMC GEM forecast models
What is nice about this site is that it goes out to 240 hours for the 0Z run for North America.

More Model Data

CMC, GFDL, GFS, HWRF, MM5, NOGAPS
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/
This site runs somewhat behind the other model sites, though it is nice to look at their imagery over other sites that have the information.

Cyclone phase evolution: Analyses & Forecasts
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cyclonephase/
This goes more in depth on the path. It shows you the line where the center is expected to travel along with some pressure and other data expected at the core. It does not update as fast as previously mentioned sites, but the phase diagrams are very valuable resources to look at to learn more about the core of potential and current storms.

Experimental FIM Model from NOAA's Earth System Research Laboratory:
http://fim.noaa.gov/
The Flow-following finite-volume Icosahedral Model (FIM) is a global atmospheric forecast model (numerical weather prediction).

Tropical Cyclone model page from PSU
http://tc.met.psu.edu/
GFS, NOGAPS, GFDL, HWRF, WRF, ECMWF

Weather Underground:
http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/
On that big page, under "North Atlantic Storm Advisories," you will see the latest storms. Click "Computer Models." This site includes the SHIPS intensity model data on the model imagery.

NOAA's Air Resources Laboratory (ARL):
Forecast Model Animations - NAM, RUC, GFS, GFS Long-Range

MM5 (Fifth-Generation NCAR / Penn State Mesoscale Model, about) Tropical Cyclone Prediction:
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/mm5/

From the NAVY's Fleet Numerical Meteorology and Oceanography Center:
GFS
NOGAPS
Note: You can safely ignore the security warning if one pops up.

Models at Unisys
http://weather.unisys.com/forehome.php
NAM/WRF, GFS, ECMWF, RUC

Ohio State University's model page:
Numerical Model Output
GFS, MRF(Medium Range Forecast Model), NAM, RUC, WRF

Weather Underground Models
Weather Underground has a nice display of the GFS and NAM models with a variety of different options that you can choose. They also have the latest GFDL run with several different maps to select from. Also be sure to check out their WunderMap, which in addition to having some of the coolest features, also has some model data. Under "Map Controls", click the "Model Data" for options. Also under "Map Controls" is the "Hurricane" option which has an option to display some of the computer models run for specific storms.

e-WALL: Pennsylvania State University (PSU) Electronic Map Wall
Lots and lots of models and other tropical information, including satellite imagery. This site is really great. Try not to get overwhelmed by all the information.
Jump right to: Tropical Atlantic e-WALL
Notice in the left column the satellite views, including floaters, available.

Text model data from the NHC
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ftp/pub/products/nhc/model/ - (Warning, it's a long page that takes a lot of time to load)
This is where you can find some text model data for some of the NHC models. (BAMS, BAMD, BAMM, LBAR, SHIP and DSHP) It also contains some additional data about the storm's initialization. Some of the files contain that while others contain text data for the GFDL model. Each type of model file comes out about every 6 hours, when available. Keep in mind that the times are in UTC time. Also note that the SHIPS intensity model is in knots. (multiply by 1.15 to get mph) You can open the files in a text editor. Sometimes it opens wrong. Try a different text editor then to open it. (Sometimes a file works in Notepad and not in Wordpad, and sometimes the other way around. But usually it always seems to open right in one of them.)
ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/stext/ - (Warning, it's a long page that takes a lot of time to load) This folder contains a very detailed SHIPS output.
ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/aid_public/ - The compressed files in this folder contain the raw text data that Tropical Atlantic processes to present on our site. The easiest way to view this data is the processed output that we or another site generates.

Tropical Cyclone Guidance Project (TCGP) at National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR)
This site has NHC model data plotted on images. This site has the model system that the Colorado state model site had.

Methaz.org Model Data (from the Kinetic Analysis Corporation and UCF)
This site has NHC model data available and at times has other features.

South Florida Water Management District Model Data (SFWMD)
This site also has select NHC model data plotted on images that are usually available quickly after the model data is released by the NHC. Ignore any storm that is not from 1 to 49 (depression or higher) or 90 to 99 (invest areas).

About Models

NHC/TPC Forecast Model Background and Information
This page from the National Hurricane Center explains the different models used in forecasting hurricanes.

An Overview of NHC Prediction Models from the National Weather Service
This page contains quite a bit of data regarding models.

Explanation of computer models used to track hurricanes from Weather Underground
This page provides a brief overview of the global forecast models.

Model FAQ from NOAA
This page contains information that is mostly contained on the pages above.